I mean, even open source LLM’s at the moment can solve somewhat tedious and tricky problems, and just on somewhat mid-tier consumer hardware. Supercomputers exist, and it just seems, with time, breakthroughs are inevitable.
But I will admit, like you say, we have limits, but in the realm of technology, the only real limitations are energy and hardware.
If you don’t see AI replacing many roles, yet you know that LLM’s are not what many seem to think they are, text generators and not AGI, then it seems you don’t believe that AGI will ever happen.
Technology will continue to develop for decades and maybe centuries to come. To only see the short term possibilities is to forget how quickly technology advances.
And even just limiting the discussion to the short-term, what makes you think billionaires aren’t taking advantage of the hype and coercing governments to forego safety and regulation? Maximizing profit over enhancing the lives of the common man?
capitalism worked pretty well in the 40’s and 50’s, in the USA, and then the corporate leaders realized that they could be overlords if they just stopped caring about everything but money.
We know kindness and money can coexist, but if little boy jack is taught from day one that if you don’t game the system, you will lose, he’s going to grow up to be Elon Musk.